TSMC34 — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company
Semicondutores / Fabricação de Chips (Foundry)|Event Impact Analysisstream
Premissas (2026-04-17)USD mode, FX 4.99
revenue
158.00 USD bn
gross_margin
0.59 pct
op_margin
0.54 pct
sbc_rate
0.01 pct
fx
4.99 BRL/USD
multiple_adj
0.00 pct
shares
5.2k MM
Modelo
gross_profit=revenue * gross_margin * 1000=93.2k
op_income=gross_profit - revenue * (gross_margin - op_margin) * 1000=85.3k
ebitda_usd=op_income=85.3k USD MM
ebitda_brl=ebitda_usd * fx=425.7k R$ MM
price_per_bdr=price_per_share / 8=0.03
Valuation
EBITDA Ajustado (DB)
US$ 85.320 MM
Dívida Líquida
US$ 0 MM (DL/EBITDA 0.00x)
Preço Atual
R$ 232.71 Implied EV/EBITDA 2.83x
Stream Price (base)
R$ 232.71
Event Impact | Preço Atual R$ 232.71
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EventoEsperadoGanhoGanho/Preço
Pendentes (8)
+AI demand surprises upside — hyperscaler CAPEX exceeds expectations2 refs2027-12+R$ 29.46+13%+
revenue 158 +20 → 178 USD bn
+CAPEX peak passes FY2027 — FCF explosion to US$80-100 bn/yr1 ref2028-06+R$ 8.62+4%+
op_margin 0.54 +0.02 → 0.56 pct
+N2 yield exceeds 80% — pricing power sustains gross margin >60%1 ref1 check2027-06+R$ 0.00+0%+
gross_margin 0.59 +0.03 → 0.62 pct
-Consumer electronics downcycle comprime utilização de nodes maduros1 ref2027-12R$ 11.78-5%+
revenue 158 -8 → 150 USD bn
-Terremoto ou crise hídrica em Taiwan interrompe produção1 ref2028-12R$ 14.73-6%+
revenue 158 -10 → 148 USD bn
-Overseas fab margin dilution worse than expected2 refs2028-12R$ 17.24-7%+
op_margin 0.54 -0.04 → 0.5 pct
-AI bubble burst / hyperscaler CAPEX pullback1 ref2027-12R$ 36.82-16%+
revenue 158 -25 → 133 USD bn
-Taiwan Strait geopolitical escalation2 refs2028-12R$ 69.81-30%+
multiple_adj 0 -0.3 → -0.3 pct